The UK economic weekly calendar started a bit slow. On Monday, the report on monthly CBI industrial trends survey was released. According to the report, the UK manufacturing advanced in three months. But the export orders remains contracted. Today, traders eye the GDP growth rate q/q. The forecast for the Q4 is 0.5%. In the Q3, it dropped to 0.5%. The UK is approaching the next big event. On May 07, 2015, general election should pressure the cable. From an April low of 1.4566 the cable managed to gain approximately 700 pips. The cable managed to close above 100Dema and 100sma. The cable managed to close above 20Wsma after 10months. Ahead of the big event, the FOMC meeting and general election, we expect wild moves. The strong resistance is seen at 1.5440 and 1.5560 200Dsma. The cable has found the weekly support at 1.5200. As we analyzed earlier, big moves are likely to be observed above 1.5000. We recommended to target 1.5185 and 1.5210 on Friday. Both targets were completed. The cable gave a bullish inverse head and shoulder break targeting 1.5340.
Intraday view: Intraday support is found at 1.5200 and 1.5190. Resistance is seen at 1.5240 and 1.5270. We recommend buying above 1.5270 with targets at 1.5300 and 1.5340. On the downside, we recommend selling below 1.5190 with targets at 1.5160, 1.5110, and 1.5080. In the four-hour chart, 34hrsma is found at 1.5050 and 50Dsma is found at 1.5020. These are the key support levels to be hold by bulls to extend the rally.
