Technical analysis of USDX for June 7, 2016

The Dollar index is trading around the 50% Fibonacci retracement after its sharp decline from last week's disappointing NFP numbers. The short-term trend is bearish, however, a move lower could put the larger trend in danger.

The trend is bearish as long as the price is below the Ichimoku cloud. The stochastic and RSI are diverging on the 4-hour chart so we could soon see a bounce in the Dollar index. The next important support is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Short-term resistance is at 94.30.

The weekly candle is testing the weekly tenkan-sen (red line indicator) and the lower Kumo (cloud) boundary support. A break above the kijun-sen (yellow line indicator) will open the way for a push higher towards 98 at least. A weekly close below and out of the Kumo will be a bearish sign.

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