Technical analysis of Gold for September 23, 2016

Gold price could have finished the upside move from $1,308 and could start a correction towards $1,320. Price remains still inside the long-term sideways trading range of $1,300-$1,360 and as long as we are inside this range there will be no clear signal.

Gold price has broken above the 4 hour cloud resistance and could be back testing it now. At the upper cloud boundary we also find the 38% Fibonacci retracement of the rise from $1,308. This short-term support level could be seen today. Bulls need to break out of the this range and only a break above $1,360 will confirm our bullish scenario for new highs.

Red lines - trading range

Black line - medium-term support

Gold has reached yesterday the upper cloud boundary and got rejected. Price is above both the tenkan- and kijun-sen indicators implying that bulls might still be in control. However for a confirmation of this strength we will need to see a daily close above the cloud. A break out of the trading range will be an important long-term bullish signal. I remain long-term and short-term bullish. Only a break below $1,300 will change my short-term view.

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