The Dollar index is weaker at the start of the week. Price has made a short-term top at least for now at the long-term 61.8% Fibonacci retracement resistance at 102. A correction has started. This pullback is justified and I have been warning Dollar bulls for quite some time to raise their stops.
Black line - resistanceThe Dollar index had broken the black line support and back tested it on Friday only to get rejected. Price is below the Ichimoku cloud support in the 1 hour chart. Short-term trend is bearish. Support is at 99.90 and resistance at 101.50.
Green line -long -term support trend lineThe Dollar index is reversing off the long-term 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Resistance at that level is very strong. Combined with the bearish divergence in the stochastic oscillator, a pull back is justified and could bring price even towards 97-96 area again. This is the most important support level for Dollar bulls. A break below 96 will cancel any bullish scenario and increase chances for a deep decline towards 90. Bulls need to be very cautious.
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