Trading plan for 27/06/2017:
Very quiet session on Wall Street results in a similar course of trade in Asia. The gold ounce rate after yesterday's collapse is stabilizing over 200-session average.around $1250. WTI oil costs the same as before the Department of Energy's last publication last Wednesday, $ 43.50 a barrel. EUR/USD is again around 1.1200, USD/JPY is around 112.00.
On Tuesday 27th of June, the event calendar is full of speeches by various central bankers, so some volatility might be expected today. First to speak is Mario Draghi from ECB at 08.00 am GMT, then RBA Assistant Governor Guy Debelle will speak around 08:30 am GMT, next one is a highly anticipated speech by Mark Carney from Bank of England (around 10:00 am GMT). During the US session, the FED policymakers will speak, starting from Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker at 03:15 pm GMT, then FED Chairperson Janet Yellen will give a speech at 05:00 pm GMT and the last one to speak is Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari around 09:30 pm GMT.
EUR/USD analysis for 27/08/2017:
Except for the speeches, the important data release from the US is CB Consumer Confidence Index, which is scheduled for release at 02:00 pm GMT. The market participants expect a slight drop from the level of 117.9 points to 116.2 points, and it would be the third month of a decrease in sentiment. The consumer confidence has been rising since June 2016 with a peak in March 2017 at the level of 125 points, just three months after Donald Trump presidency started. Nevertheless, this upbeat mode seems to be sliding now, as previously published data for the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI) in June slipped to its lowest reading in eight months, although the latest print is still above the recent low in October. Only if the data beat the consensus, the US Dollar would gain across the board.
Let's now take a look at the EUR/USD technical picture at the H4 timeframe. During the whole day today, this pair will be under the influence of various central banks members speeches conclusions and data release from the US. So far, EURUSD trades sideways in a narrow range between the levels of 1,1211 - 1.1130. The most important levels for bears and bulls are 1.1295 for bears and 1.1075 for bulls as any breakout above/below this level will be decisive for further price action development.
Market Snapshot: Gold is back up where the sell-off started
After yesterday 20 dollar drop in prices of Gold, the market almost returned to the level where it all started. The 200-periods hourly moving average acted as a dynamic resistance around the level of $1251, but it looks like the price of the yellow metal might go even higher, towards the next resistance at 78%Fibo at the level of $1254. Both stochastic and RSI indicators support this view.
Market Snapshot: USD/JPY just below the 61%Fibo retracement
The price of USD/JPY managed to break out above the technical resistance at the level of 111.70 and almost hit the 61%Fibo at the level of 112.23. Nevertheless, despite making a new local high, the momentum indicator is showing a bearish divergence, so this pair might start an intraday corrective cycle soon. The next technical support is seen at the level of 111.00.
