EUR/USD is in a neutral short-term trend but vulnerable to the downside. I expect EUR/USD to break lower towards 1.14 over the coming weeks. Key levels for this scenario to come true are 1.17.35 and 1.1965.
Blue trend lines - resistance
EUR/USD is inside the 4-hour Kumo (CLOUD). Trend is neutral as price is trading between 1.17-1.1850 for the last few days. Short-term resistance is at 1.1820-1.1830. Support is at 1.1765. Break support and we are going to challenge the black rectangle area just above 1.17 which is critical support. Break above the blue trend lines and we are going to challenge 1.1950.
So far price remains above the critical support area. Breaking below it will push price towards the red rectangle area and the Ichimoku cloud support around 1.14. This is my preferred scenario. However there still no confirmation of such a bearish move starting yet.
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