Wave counting analysis:
On Tuesday, March 26, trading for EUR/USD pair ended by 40 bp and a successful attempt to break through the level of 61.8%. Thus, the estimated wave b takes a more complex form and in the long term, the entire downward trend section may become more complicated given the entire wave picture of recent months, which will lead to a rationale for a further decline in the euro. The most interesting thing is that the negative news background is not the reason for the decline in the euro, since there was no important news on Monday and Tuesday. Given the fact that the Fed abandoned the rate hike, it would be more logical to see the construction of the rising wave.
Sales targets:
1.1280 - 61.8% Fibonacci (small grid)
1.1240 - 76.4% Fibonacci (small grid)
Purchase targets:
1.1448 - 0.0% Fibonacci
General conclusions and trading recommendations:
The pair resumed building the wave b. Now, I recommend not to trade a pair but to expect a new signal to complete the current downward wave. For example, an unsuccessful attempt to break through the level of 76.4% Fibonacci. At the same time, the breakthrough of the minimum of the supposed wave 5 will unequivocally indicate the complication of the entire downward trend section, which originated on January 10.
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