Wave counting analysis:
On Wednesday, March 27, trading ended for EUR / USD by another 15 bp decline. Thus, the assumed wave b continues its construction, taking the clearly expressed three-wave form. An unsuccessful attempt to break through the Fibonacci level of 76.4% can lead to a departure of quotes from the reached highs and the completion of the construction of wave b. If these are true, then the tool from the current positions will attempt to start building a wave with targets located above the 14th figure. The current wave counting is characterized by almost one-dimensional waves. On the other hand, the news background for the pair remains neutral, despite the statements of Mario Draghi about the downside risks for the EU economy and the launch of a new long term loan program for ECB banks.Sales targets:
1.1240 - 76.4% Fibonacci (small grid)
1.1177 - 100.0% Fibonacci
Purchase goals:
1.1448 - 0.0% Fibonacci
General conclusions and trading recommendations:
The pair supposedly completed or is close to completing the construction of wave b. Now, I recommend waiting for a new signal to complete the current downward wave. Such a signal may already be an unsuccessful attempt to break through the level of 76.4% Fibonacci. Consequently, you can try small purchases with restrictive orders below the level of 76.4%.
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