4-hour timeframe
Technical details:
The upper linear regression channel: direction - down.
The lower linear regression channel: direction - down.
Moving average (20; smoothed) - up.
CCI: 118.2649
The currency pair EUR/USD on Friday, April 12, at the Asian trading session, quite unexpectedly made a breakthrough upward and reached the resistance level of 1.1289 for the third time. However, the upward trend is still very weak, and the volatility is low. To date, the planned publication of industrial production for February in the European Union, as well as the consumer confidence index for April in the United States. It is unlikely that these data will greatly affect the behavior of the market. Most likely, the maximum – they will cause a short surge of emotions that will not go beyond the current values of volatility. Thus, the pair continues to move with a minimum upward bias and fairly frequent corrections. As we have repeatedly said, traders did not have the strength and desire to overcome the Murray level of "-1/8" – 1,1200, which is also the lower boundary of a strong area of support for the pair. At the same time, trading in the last few days clearly shows that there is no particular desire among traders to buy a currency pair. Thus, any positions on the pair are now quite impractical, since reversals occur often, and the duration of the movement in one direction is low.
Nearest support levels:
S1 - 1.1261
S2 - 1.1230
S3 - 1.1200
Nearest resistance levels:
R1 - 1.1292
R2 - 1.1322
R3 - 1.1353
Trading recommendations:
The EUR/USD currency pair has resumed its upward movement. Thus, it is now recommended to consider purchase orders with targets at 1.1292 and 1.1322. A new turn of the Heiken Ashi down indicates a new round of downward correction.
Sell positions are recommended to open no earlier than fixing the pair below the moving average line with targets at 1.1230 and 1.1200. In this case, a downtrend may resume.
In addition to the technical picture should also take into account the fundamental data and the time of their release.
Explanations for illustrations:
The upper linear regression channel is the blue lines of the unidirectional movement.
The lower linear regression channel is the violet lines of the unidirectional movement.
CCI - blue line in the indicator window.
The moving average (20; smoothed) is the blue line on the price chart.
Murray levels - multi-colored horizontal stripes.
Heiken Ashi is an indicator that colors bars in blue or purple.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com