GBP/USD H1.
On the hourly chart, the pound/dollar pair is trading downward on April 24. The downward movement of quotes is supported by a strong downward trend line, which has at least 6 pivot points. The last time the pair's quotes rebound from it was yesterday. At the same time, there is a second trend line – an ascending one, which also has 6 pivot points at once and, accordingly, is also quite strong. Thus, the pound is currently fixed in a kind of triangle, leaving which will determine the further short-term trend of the pair. On the other hand, the statistics from the UK this week were generally as disastrous as those in other countries. The only report that could provoke the strengthening of the pound was the applications for unemployment benefits in March, which caused its fall. But all the other reports, including yesterday's business activity, most likely stop the bulls from buying pounds or close short positions on the US dollar. And if this is true, then the bears are activated either today or at the beginning of next week. As for the EUR/USD pair, we recommend that you pay attention to the report on long-term use orders in the States at the American trading session. If traders suddenly stop ignoring important statistics, then the bulls will be able to take advantage of the opportunities provided and continue to buy the pair with renewed strength. In any case, we have an ideal picture of the pound / dollar pair in terms of beauty and accuracy, which we assume two trading ideas for April 24:
1) Bears need to consolidate below the upward trend line in order to continue the downward movement. This will break the short-term bullish trend and keep the longer-term bearish current. In this case, we recommend selling the pound in order to support the 4-hour timeframe 1.2276. Thus, Take Profit can be around 72 points.
2) As long as the bulls are located above the upward trend line,the bullish trend persists in terms of intraday. Thus, the GBP/USD pair has even a growth potential to the level of 1.2395. However, no one knows how many more times the pair will push off from the upward trend line, so it is quite dangerous to trade for an increase right now. We believe that it is better to wait for the downward trend line to be broken, which will definitely be a strong signal to buy with the goal of the Senkou span B line of the 4-hour timeframe, which runs approximately at the level of 1.2467. Thus, the possible Take Profit for long positions is 68 points.
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